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Red30
80298.5
278318.2
464514.6
Blue52
784814.1
173617.3
54426.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404201001502002503003503052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#20
18.21.7
13.111.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.4
red by 0.9
1736
#18
17.31.4
17.719.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Second
4645
#26
14.61.7
11.59.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End4.7
red by 0.5
7848
#25
14.11.4
9.110.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Third
8029
#33
8.51.7
12.911.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End2.2
red by 2.2
5442
#37
6.31.4
12.213.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed