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Red69
421331.7
54429.8
203920.3
Blue58
584728.8
11224.9
465521.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63830501001506958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End11.8
red by 2.9
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End12.0
Second
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.6
End1.7
blue by 4.6
112
#23
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.6
Third
5442
#29
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 11.7
4655
#16
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End6.2