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Red104
394037.0
286710.0
220242.9
Blue26
421331.7
54429.8
504115.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10254015020010426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 11.2
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End11.8
Second
37.00.0
37.037.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
red by 21.4
5041
#32
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End4.6
Third
2867
#20
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End3.3
red by 0.1
5442
#29
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4