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Red34
54429.8
130620.7
504115.6
Blue68
665114.8
233832.3
46129.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438701001502003468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#22
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
blue by 11.7
2338
#10
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.5
End12.5
Second
5041
#32
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End4.6
blue by 13.5
461
#18
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End10.8
Third
5442
#29
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 4.9
6651
#19
14.80.0
14.814.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo odds64%Cargo odds
Hangar
32%Hangar odds84%Hangar odds