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Red100
414339.2
167519.9
335213.0
Blue112
97368.1
220242.9
394037.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7497050150200250100112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
blue by 3.7
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Second
1675
#11
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.3
blue by 17.1
37.00.0
37.037.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
Third
3352
#27
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End3.2
red by 4.8
9736
#28
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo odds92%Cargo odds
Hangar
60%Hangar odds82%Hangar odds