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Red94
11224.9
173632.5
409620.3
Blue54
478710.9
162523.1
582219.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875301001502009454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#21
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End3.1
red by 9.4
1625
#15
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.5
End4.6
Second
112
#23
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.6
red by 4.9
5822
#30
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.7
Third
4096
#25
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.7
red by 9.4
4787
#17
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo odds30%Cargo odds
Hangar
64%Hangar odds44%Hangar odds