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Red55
270412.9
593416.9
421331.7
Blue56
179220.4
245137.8
512512.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64770501001505556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End11.8
blue by 6.1
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto12.4
Teleop19.3
End6.2
Second
5934
#14
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End8.9
blue by 3.5
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2
Third
2704
#26
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End5.3
red by 0.6
5125
#12
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo odds81%Cargo odds
Hangar
84%Hangar odds62%Hangar odds