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Red64
204019.9
999628.9
99867.8
Blue66
425631.7
306715.1
162516.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35710501001502002506466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.2
20.721.9
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End3.7
blue by 2.7
31.70.3
28.829.0
Auto6.3
Teleop12.5
End13.0
Second
2040
#18
19.90.7
19.820.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.1
End5.5
red by 2.9
1625
#16
16.90.3
18.618.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End4.1
Third
9986
#30
7.81.2
8.810.0
Auto0.3
Teleop5.0
End1.5
blue by 7.3
15.10.3
14.915.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned