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Red54
233832.5
409613.9
418716.0
Blue123
170651.0
657424.4
248141.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6714105010020025030054123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#22
32.51.4
36.835.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End8.8
blue by 18.5
51.00.2
49.849.6
Auto13.3
Teleop33.4
End4.2
Second
4187
#14
16.01.4
17.315.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End4.0
blue by 25.8
2481
#13
41.80.2
45.645.4
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End9.2
Third
4096
#23
13.91.4
17.115.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End3.8
blue by 10.5
6574
#26
24.40.2
27.126.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsMissed98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsMissed87%Hangar oddsEarned