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Red62
33978.7
63176.8
584730.9
Blue54
93025.9
414337.9
71174.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438301001502006254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#15
30.91.0
29.830.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End12.6
blue by 7.0
4143
#20
37.91.5
34.933.4
Auto9.0
Teleop19.9
End9.2
Second
3397
#19
8.71.0
5.26.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End3.0
blue by 17.2
930
#17
25.91.5
30.228.7
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End5.9
Third
6317
#24
6.81.0
8.79.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End-0.9
red by 2.3
7117
#32
4.51.5
7.35.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed68%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsMissed