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Red50
80966.2
173630.8
204019.9
Blue26
99867.8
54429.4
99904.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74902040601001201401605026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#12
30.80.6
31.831.1
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End2.2
red by 21.4
5442
#28
9.40.0
7.77.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End2.8
Second
2040
#18
19.90.6
20.519.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.1
End5.5
red by 12.1
9986
#30
7.80.1
10.09.9
Auto0.3
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Third
8096
#21
6.20.6
7.46.8
Auto3.8
Teleop1.2
End1.2
red by 1.3
9990
#31
4.90.1
5.05.0
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned