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Red112
584730.9
432933.5
999628.9
Blue78
80966.2
245137.8
248141.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6911105015020025030011278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.52.2
35.437.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End4.0
blue by 8.3
2481
#13
41.81.4
49.247.9
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End9.2
Second
5847
#15
30.92.2
26.829.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End12.6
blue by 6.8
37.81.4
38.537.1
Auto11.2
Teleop21.1
End5.6
Third
28.93.6
13.216.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End3.7
red by 22.8
8096
#21
6.21.4
10.79.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsMissed