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Red55
173630.8
765714.1
63176.8
Blue71
306136.2
409613.9
306715.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558001001502002503005571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#12
30.80.0
32.232.3
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End2.2
blue by 5.4
36.20.1
40.240.1
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End6.8
Second
7657
#27
14.10.0
15.115.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 1.0
15.10.1
15.014.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Third
6317
#24
6.80.0
7.07.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End-0.9
blue by 7.1
4096
#23
13.90.1
17.217.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned