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Red26
582219.9
719829.4
90398.1
Blue60
761733.3
501022.5
695627.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569301502002660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7198
Unranked
29.40.0
29.429.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End11.2
blue by 3.9
7617
Unranked
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End5.7
Second
5822
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.7
blue by 7.1
6956
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End10.9
Third
9039
Unranked
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
blue by 14.4
5010
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo odds87%Cargo odds
Hangar
75%Hangar odds85%Hangar odds