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Red68
548429.3
82927.2
745740.7
Blue25
178131.2
448513.7
164614.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1115601001502006825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
Unranked
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End10.5
red by 9.5
1781
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End10.1
Second
5484
Unranked
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto9.6
Teleop10.0
End9.7
red by 14.8
1646
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Third
829
Unranked
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End8.0
red by 13.6
4485
Unranked
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo odds51%Cargo odds
Hangar
91%Hangar odds29%Hangar odds