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Red63
540217.6
23424.8
582219.9
Blue53
874216.4
172023.1
164614.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685601001506353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.4
red by 1.7
1720
Unranked
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.8
Second
5822
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.7
red by 3.5
8742
Unranked
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Third
5402
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End7.4
red by 3.1
1646
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo odds47%Cargo odds
Hangar
69%Hangar odds34%Hangar odds