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Red52
394044.9
998911.3
448513.7
Blue51
409620.3
4523.8
719829.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6481020401001201401605251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
Unranked
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
red by 15.5
7198
Unranked
29.40.0
29.429.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End11.2
Second
4485
Unranked
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End2.9
blue by 10.2
45
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End7.5
Third
9989
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End3.6
blue by 9.0
4096
Unranked
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo odds81%Cargo odds
Hangar
19%Hangar odds92%Hangar odds