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Red71
86822.8
492631.8
101819.1
Blue76
82931.3
501028.0
427235.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7398501507176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
33.733.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End8.8
blue by 3.6
35.51.4
35.534.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Second
868
#12
22.80.1
21.020.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.6
blue by 8.6
829
#6
31.31.4
30.028.6
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End9.0
Third
1018
#24
19.10.1
17.317.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.5
End6.3
blue by 8.8
28.01.4
23.422.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsMissed