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Red71
874216.0
394041.2
172020.7
Blue89
548434.0
649824.7
23424.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74880501001502007189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.3
39.239.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End13.1
red by 7.2
5484
#29
34.00.6
37.337.9
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Second
1720
#30
20.70.3
17.517.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End7.0
blue by 4.1
234
#16
24.80.6
25.426.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End7.0
Third
8742
#17
16.00.3
14.314.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End2.6
blue by 8.7
6498
#14
24.70.6
17.918.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned