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Red51
448514.2
23419.6
44718.7
Blue65
172015.6
4515.8
649814.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36440102030506070805165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#12
19.60.9
14.415.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End6.9
red by 3.8
45
#6
15.81.7
11.813.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.1
End4.2
Second
447
#9
18.70.5
9.510.1
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End8.0
red by 3.1
15.61.7
13.615.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
4485
#23
14.20.9
11.112.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End4.1
blue by 0.7
6498
#13
14.91.7
14.816.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned