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Red28
518810.0
348718.8
810313.0
Blue13
17418.8
286711.8
716.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393101020506070802813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#10
18.80.5
17.817.3
Auto4.2
Teleop0.7
End13.8
red by 6.9
2867
#24
11.81.9
8.46.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.2
Second
8103
#14
13.00.8
7.26.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End5.1
red by 4.2
1741
#27
8.81.9
11.09.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Third
5188
#26
10.00.8
10.59.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.3
red by 3.2
71
#25
6.81.9
10.99.0
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed