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Red48
355916.3
21718.1
102421.9
Blue38
745413.3
15299.1
492618.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44300102040506070804838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.3
20.721.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End7.5
red by 3.9
4926
#11
18.00.9
10.011.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Second
3559
#17
16.30.3
12.112.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.3
red by 3.0
7454
#15
13.30.6
13.213.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End6.1
Third
2171
#30
8.10.5
6.87.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 0.9
1529
#29
9.10.9
6.47.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsMissed