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Red72
394037.1
1359.9
761714.8
Blue43
317616.3
67217.7
695624.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020801007243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.11.2
32.733.9
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End11.7
red by 12.9
24.20.1
17.417.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End10.6
Second
14.82.0
7.19.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.9
blue by 1.5
3176
#20
16.30.1
13.013.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Third
135
#22
9.92.0
10.512.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End2.6
red by 2.2
6721
#28
7.70.1
7.47.5
Auto3.9
Teleop1.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned