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Red20
17418.8
761714.8
355916.3
Blue47
348718.8
856411.8
172015.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30470204060802047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3559
#17
16.30.7
12.411.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 2.5
3487
#10
18.80.3
17.317.7
Auto4.2
Teleop0.7
End13.8
Second
14.81.2
9.17.9
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.9
blue by 0.8
15.60.3
15.215.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
1741
#27
8.81.2
9.17.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 3.0
8564
#16
11.80.6
9.39.8
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned