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Red12
649814.9
716.8
518810.0
Blue52
745736.9
1359.9
448514.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35510204060801252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6498
#13
14.91.8
16.514.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.3
blue by 22.0
36.90.2
21.321.6
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End10.1
Second
5188
#26
10.03.0
9.76.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.3
blue by 4.2
4485
#23
14.20.2
12.012.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End4.1
Third
71
#25
6.83.0
9.05.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.6
blue by 3.1
135
#22
9.90.2
12.412.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsMissed