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Red60
745736.9
44718.7
317616.3
Blue20
67217.7
649814.9
21718.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52290204060806020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.5
24.125.7
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End10.1
red by 22.0
6498
#13
14.90.7
16.215.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.3
Second
447
#9
18.70.9
11.612.5
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End8.0
red by 10.6
2171
#30
8.11.1
5.44.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Third
3176
#20
16.31.5
10.512.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
red by 8.6
6721
#28
7.71.1
8.57.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed