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Red38
716.8
23419.6
101812.3
Blue34
719816.0
518810.0
172015.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354001020305060703834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#12
19.60.8
13.112.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End6.9
red by 3.7
16.00.3
14.314.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End7.2
Second
1018
#18
12.30.8
13.612.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End5.3
blue by 3.3
15.60.2
16.416.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
71
#25
6.80.8
6.65.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.6
blue by 3.2
5188
#26
10.00.3
5.85.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed