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Red75
15299.1
810313.0
745736.9
Blue64
761714.8
23419.6
172015.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49412030607080907564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.92.7
30.633.3
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End10.1
red by 17.2
234
#12
19.61.7
12.113.8
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End6.9
Second
8103
#14
13.02.7
7.19.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End5.1
blue by 2.7
15.61.1
15.316.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
1529
#29
9.12.7
7.610.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 5.7
14.81.7
12.314.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsEarned