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Red41
695624.2
856411.8
716.8
Blue38
21718.1
765711.3
448514.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38310102050604138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.4
19.019.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End10.6
red by 10.0
4485
#23
14.20.9
13.113.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End4.1
Second
8564
#16
11.80.7
10.511.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End4.9
red by 0.5
7657
#21
11.30.8
12.313.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Third
71
#25
6.80.7
5.25.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.6
blue by 1.3
2171
#30
8.10.8
4.95.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed