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Red58
172015.6
716.8
745736.9
Blue22
856411.8
745413.3
286711.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68432060801001205822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.2
37.737.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End10.1
red by 23.6
7454
#15
13.31.7
14.913.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End6.1
Second
15.60.2
15.515.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.7
red by 3.8
2867
#24
11.82.3
14.111.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.2
Third
71
#25
6.80.2
7.37.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.6
blue by 4.9
8564
#16
11.82.3
14.612.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsMissed