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Red65
348718.8
811610.2
695624.2
Blue85
492618.0
394037.1
810313.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5570204060801001206585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
24.224.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End10.6
blue by 12.9
37.11.4
36.537.9
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End11.7
Second
3487
#10
18.80.3
18.919.1
Auto4.2
Teleop0.7
End13.8
red by 0.7
4926
#11
18.01.7
16.117.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Third
8116
#19
10.20.3
10.210.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5
blue by 2.8
8103
#14
13.01.6
11.413.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned