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Red45
21718.1
172015.6
101812.3
Blue50
286711.8
649814.9
761714.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3346102040607080904550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.6
15.315.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.7
red by 0.8
6498
#13
14.90.3
15.115.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.3
Second
1018
#18
12.30.6
9.910.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End5.3
blue by 2.5
14.80.3
14.815.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Third
2171
#30
8.10.6
7.58.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 3.7
2867
#24
11.80.3
11.912.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned