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Red31
15299.1
856411.8
765711.3
Blue45
745413.3
1359.9
317616.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34430102030506070803145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8564
#16
11.80.2
12.312.1
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End4.9
blue by 4.5
3176
#20
16.30.4
16.416.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Second
7657
#21
11.30.2
11.811.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 2.0
7454
#15
13.30.4
13.213.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End6.1
Third
1529
#29
9.10.2
9.39.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 0.9
135
#22
9.90.4
9.59.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsEarned