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Red26
15556.1
349418.0
87429.5
Blue40
745412.9
4479.4
172012.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403601020305060702640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#10
18.00.8
19.518.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End4.9
red by 5.1
7454
#12
12.90.1
12.812.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End7.0
Second
8742
#16
9.50.8
10.59.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End2.7
blue by 2.9
1720
#18
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Third
1555
#32
6.10.8
6.96.1
Auto0.9
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 3.3
447
#22
9.40.1
9.49.5
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned