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Red81
81168.4
150121.8
394031.6
Blue47
649814.6
823210.9
4512.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63342040801008147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.6
29.931.4
Auto6.2
Teleop16.2
End9.2
red by 17.0
6498
#25
14.60.8
13.614.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.2
Second
21.81.6
20.321.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End6.4
red by 9.6
45
#15
12.20.8
12.012.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End3.3
Third
8116
#27
8.41.6
5.57.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End3.4
blue by 2.5
8232
#21
10.90.8
10.110.9
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned