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Red75
150121.8
102420.4
4479.4
Blue67
501016.9
46125.3
81168.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56522040801007567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.3
21.922.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End6.4
blue by 3.5
461
#4
25.30.4
24.925.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End11.7
Second
20.40.3
20.620.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End8.1
red by 3.5
5010
#14
16.90.4
16.516.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End7.0
Third
447
#22
9.40.3
9.59.9
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
8116
#27
8.40.4
8.08.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End3.4