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Red22
164614.5
810313.8
314718.0
Blue39
393617.2
150134.9
718.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5166204060801002239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.8
19.818.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End8.8
blue by 17.0
34.91.4
32.731.3
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End12.3
Second
1646
#22
14.51.8
14.913.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
blue by 2.7
3936
#16
17.21.4
18.216.7
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End12.4
Third
8103
#24
13.81.8
14.913.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End4.6
red by 5.2
71
#37
8.51.4
9.58.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned