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Red60
448513.7
13514.3
548430.8
Blue46
46123.9
86819.2
174713.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606440507080906046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#10
30.80.2
29.029.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End10.0
red by 6.8
461
#25
23.90.9
26.725.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End11.1
Second
135
#13
14.30.2
14.514.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End3.0
blue by 4.9
868
#23
19.20.9
19.318.4
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End5.3
Third
4485
#32
13.70.2
13.113.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End2.9
red by 0.2
1747
#18
13.50.9
13.812.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsMissed