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Red57
540217.6
101814.9
152914.1
Blue61
761724.1
501020.4
518816.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446420801005761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#14
17.60.6
16.016.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End7.4
blue by 6.5
7617
#26
24.10.2
24.324.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Second
1018
#15
14.90.6
14.715.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End5.5
blue by 5.5
5010
#12
20.40.2
18.018.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End7.3
Third
1529
#30
14.10.6
13.313.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End4.4
blue by 2.6
5188
#21
16.70.2
15.415.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsMissed