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Red133
571239.6
170648.5
3349.8
Blue162
205658.5
409929.6
18052.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15114750100200250133162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
49.80.3
51.050.7
Auto12.2
Teleop26.0
End11.6
blue by 8.7
58.50.4
57.858.3
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Second
48.50.3
49.749.4
Auto11.6
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 3.8
180
#3
52.20.4
51.652.0
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
Third
5712
#23
39.60.3
40.840.5
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End8.8
red by 10.0
4099
#40
29.60.4
29.029.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8