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Red103
571239.6
170648.5
3349.8
Blue161
205658.5
409929.6
18052.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150149100200103161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
49.80.9
50.749.8
Auto12.2
Teleop26.0
End11.6
blue by 8.7
58.50.2
58.358.5
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Second
48.50.9
49.448.5
Auto11.6
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 3.8
180
#3
52.20.2
52.052.2
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
Third
5712
#23
39.60.9
40.539.6
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End8.8
red by 10.0
4099
#40
29.60.2
29.429.6
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8