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Red131
6753.3
19539.5
253932.8
Blue129
276748.6
102343.2
353848.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13215150100200250131129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#36
53.30.1
53.353.3
Auto12.3
Teleop30.1
End10.9
red by 4.4
3538
#10
48.80.3
48.448.1
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End10.8
Second
195
#5
39.50.1
39.939.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
blue by 9.1
48.60.3
48.147.8
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Third
2539
#26
32.80.1
33.233.2
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.7
blue by 10.4
1023
#16
43.20.3
42.942.6
Auto9.0
Teleop28.5
End5.7