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Red152
409929.6
205658.5
18052.2
Blue112
463541.2
2752.1
207541.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14315150100200250152112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.4
56.857.2
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
red by 6.4
27
#7
52.10.6
54.153.4
Auto11.5
Teleop29.2
End11.5
Second
180
#3
52.20.4
50.650.9
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
red by 10.7
2075
#29
41.50.6
43.542.9
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End5.6
Third
4099
#40
29.60.4
28.028.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8
blue by 11.6
4635
#20
41.20.6
43.242.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.9
End7.3