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Red111
236340.5
19539.5
253932.8
Blue151
276748.6
173244.7
353848.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11615550100200250111151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#25
40.50.3
40.840.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.8
End4.3
blue by 8.3
3538
#10
48.80.1
48.148.2
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End10.8
Second
195
#5
39.50.3
39.839.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
blue by 9.1
48.60.1
47.847.9
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Third
2539
#26
32.80.3
33.232.8
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.7
blue by 11.9
1732
#17
44.70.1
44.644.7
Auto11.8
Teleop24.9
End8.0