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Red133
409929.6
205658.5
18052.2
Blue108
133944.1
317528.4
402842.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14912050100200250133108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.3
57.056.6
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
red by 14.3
44.10.3
44.944.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
Second
180
#3
52.20.3
50.750.4
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
red by 10.2
4028
#27
42.00.3
42.842.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
Third
4099
#40
29.60.3
28.127.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8
red by 1.2
3175
#24
28.40.3
28.728.4
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End2.3