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Red158
409929.6
205658.5
18052.2
Blue111
133944.1
414339.2
402842.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14513450100200250158111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.2
56.656.8
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
red by 14.3
44.10.5
44.744.1
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
Second
180
#3
52.20.2
50.450.6
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
red by 10.2
4028
#27
42.00.5
42.542.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
Third
4099
#40
29.60.2
27.828.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8
blue by 9.5
4143
#31
39.20.5
39.739.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0