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Red110
353848.8
198739.6
133944.1
Blue77
261433.2
335738.5
253932.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148131010020030040011077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#10
48.81.8
45.343.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End10.8
red by 10.3
3357
#28
38.53.5
44.340.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
Second
44.11.8
49.047.2
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
red by 10.9
2614
#47
33.23.5
44.040.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End8.6
Third
1987
#32
39.61.8
42.740.9
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End6.4
red by 6.7
2539
#26
32.83.5
36.833.3
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsMissed99%Hangar oddsEarned