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Red160
18052.2
6753.3
3349.8
Blue117
32520.4
402842.0
414339.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174110050150200250300350160117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#36
53.30.1
59.259.2
Auto12.3
Teleop30.1
End10.9
red by 11.3
4028
#27
42.00.1
43.944.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
Second
180
#3
52.20.1
49.549.6
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
red by 13.1
4143
#31
39.20.1
39.239.3
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Third
33
#1
49.80.1
46.346.4
Auto12.2
Teleop26.0
End11.6
red by 29.4
325
#39
20.40.1
28.328.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned