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Red124
449948.4
19539.5
62444.8
Blue112
246840.7
571239.6
409929.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160119050100200250300124112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.41.9
50.048.1
Auto9.1
Teleop28.1
End11.2
red by 7.7
2468
#12
40.70.8
43.242.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.9
End11.7
Second
624
#44
44.81.9
55.853.8
Auto14.2
Teleop21.1
End9.4
red by 5.1
5712
#23
39.60.8
42.942.0
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End8.8
Third
195
#5
39.51.9
39.037.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
red by 9.8
4099
#40
29.60.8
30.529.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned