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Red113
426535.9
394037.0
173244.7
Blue104
317626.3
236340.5
2752.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129155050100200250113104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
44.70.8
46.345.6
Auto11.8
Teleop24.9
End8.0
blue by 7.4
27
#7
52.12.8
62.359.5
Auto11.5
Teleop29.2
End11.5
Second
3940
#34
37.00.8
41.240.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
blue by 3.5
2363
#25
40.52.8
46.243.4
Auto12.4
Teleop23.8
End4.3
Third
4265
#35
35.90.8
36.836.1
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.9
red by 9.5
3176
#48
26.32.8
33.530.7
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsMissed